Солнечный и вулканический сигналы в декадных вариациях климата Земли
Диссертация
Особенно важен и интересен тот факт, что, как было показано в работе, разность значений приземной температуры воздуха в годы максимумов и минимумов 11-летнего цикла солнечной активности составляет в среднем 0.2К, в то время как среднее похолодание в первый год после извержения, по данным о интенсивных извержениях XIX — первой половины XX столетия, приведённым в, составляет также приблизительно… Читать ещё >
Список литературы
- Алексеев В.А., Некоторые особенности климатических изменений на Земле и возможная их связь с вариациями солнечной активности. — Астрономический Вестник, Т.41, № 6, Стр.568−576 (2007).
- Астафьева Н. М., Вейвлет-анализ: основы теории и примеры применения. Успехи Физических Наук, Т. 166, № 11, Стр. 1145−1170 (1996).
- Вакуленко Н.В., Котляков В. М., Монин А. С., и Сонечкин Д.М., О синхронности ледниковых циклов позднего Плейстоцена с колебаниями инсоляции на экваторе. ДОКЛАДЫ АКАДЕМИИ НАУК (ГЕОГРАФИЯ), УДК 551.324, Том 413, № 1, pp. 107−111 (2007).
- Витязев В.В., Вейвлет-анализ временных рядов. Учебное пособие. СПб.: Издательство Санкт-Петербургского Университета, 58 стр. (2001).
- Вовк В.Я. и Егорова Л.В., Роль солнечной активности в формировании аномального течения Эль-Ниньо. Геомагнетизм и Аэрономия, Т.47, № 1, pp. 99−106 (2007).
- Голицын Г. С. и Гинзбург А.С., Оценки возможности «быстрого» метанового потепления 55 млн. лет назад. ДОКЛАДЫ АКАДЕМИИ НАУК, Том 413, № 6, pp. 816−819 (2007).
- Голицын Г. С., Мохов И. И., Акперов М. Г., и Бардин М.Ю., Функции распределения вероятности циклонов и антициклонов в период 1952—2000 гг.: инструмент для определения изменения глобального климата. ДОКЛАДЫ АКАДЕМИИ НАУК, Том 413, № 2, pp. 254−256 (2007).
- Давыдов А.В., Цифровая обработка сигналов. Тема Id: Аппроксимация сигналов и функций. Персональный сайт Давыдова А. В. (Уральский Государственный Горный Университет): http://prodav.narod.ru/, 13 стр. (2005).
- Дымников В.П., Лыкосов В. Н., Воодин Е. М., Галин В. Я., Глазунов А. В., Грицун А. С., Дианский Н. А., Толстых М. А., и Чав-ро А.И., Моделирование климата и его изменений. -138 стр., (стр. 36−173).
- Зосимович, И. Д., Геомагнитная активность и корпускулярная стабильность Солнца. Наука: Москва (1981).
- Ипполитов И.И., Кабанов М. В., и Логинов С.В., Пространственные и временные масштабы наблюдаемого потепления в Сибири. ДОКЛАДЫ АКАДЕМИИ НАУК, Том 412, № 6, pp. 814−817 (2007).
- Кершепгольц С.З., Баркова Е. С., и Плотников И.Я., Зависимость геомагнитных возмущений от экстремальных значений Еу-компоненты солнечного ветра. Геомагнетизм и Аэрономия, Т.47, № 2, pp. 167−175 (2007).
- Кузнецов В.В., Чернева Н. В., и Дружин Г.И., О влиянии циклонов на атмосферное электрическое поле Камчатки. ДОКЛАДЫ АКАДЕМИИ НАУК, Том 412, № 4, pp. 547−551 (2007).
- Миронова И.А., Влияние солнечной активности на прозрачность атмосферы и оптические свойства аэрозоля. Диссертация на соискание ученой степени кандидата физико-математических наук. Санкт-Петербург, 160 стр. (2005)
- Монин А.С. и Сонечкин Д.М., Колебания климата по данным наблюдений: тройной солнечный и другие циклы. 191 стр., М.: Наука (2005).
- Морозова А.Л., Диссертация на соискание ученой степени кандидата физико-математических наук. Санкт-Петербург (1999)
- Мохов И.И., Безверхний В. А., Елисеев А. В., Карпенко А. А., Модельные оценки глобальных климатических изменений в XXI веке с учетом различных сценариев вариаций солнечной активности. Доклады РАН, Т.411, № 2, Стр.250−253 (2006).
- Наговицын Ю.А., Глобальная активность Солнца на длительных временах. Астрофизический Вестник, Т.43, № 1, Стр.45−58 (2008).
- Огурцов М.Г., Космогенные изотопы и их роль в современной палеоастрофизике Солнца. Геомагнетизм и Аэрономия, Т.47, т, pp. 90−98 (2007).
- Храмова М.Н., Красоткин С. А., и Кононович Э.В., Прогнозирование солнечной активности методом фазовых средних. Электронный журнал «ИССЛЕДОВАНО В РОССИИ» (http://zhurnal.ape.1169 relarn.ru/articles/2001/107.pdf), стр. 1169−1176 (2001).
- Юпгъ, Солнце. — 136 с. (в пер.).
- Ярошевич М.И., Динамика сезонных значений суммарных ин-тенсивностей тропических циклонов. ДОКЛАДЫ АКАДЕМИИ НАУК, Том 413, № 4, pp. 549−552 (2007).
- The ozone layer in the 21-st century.
- Mediterranean Climate Variability Over The Last Centuries: A Review.
- Adams B.J., Mann M.E., and C.M. Ammann, Proxy evidence for an El Nino-like response to volcanic forcing. Nature, V.426, pp. 274−278 (2003).
- Allen M.R. and Smith L.A., Investigating the origin and significance of low-frequency modes of climate variability. -Geophysical Research Letters, V.21, No.10, pp. 883−886 (1994).
- Ammann C.M., Joos F., Schimel D.S., Otto-Bliesner B.L., and Tomas R.A., Solar influence on climate during the past millennium: Results from transient simulatins with the NCAR Climate System Model. PNAS, V.104, No. 10, pp. 3713−3718 (2007).
- Ammann G.M. and Naveau Ph., Statistical analysis of tropical explosive volcanism occurrences over the last 6 centuries. -Geophysical Research Letters, V.30, No.5, pp. 1210−1213 (2003).
- Angell J.K. and Korshover J., Surface temperature changes following the six major volcanic episodes between 1780 and 1980. Journal of Climate and Applied Meteorology, V.24, pp. 937−951 (1985).
- Baines P.G. and Folland Ch.K., Evidence for a rapid global climate shift across the late 1960s. Journal of Climate, V.20, pp. 27 212 744 (2007).
- Bay R.C., Bramall N., and Buford Price P., Bipolar correlation of volcanism with millennial climate change. PNAS, V.101, No.17, pp. 6341−6345 (2004).
- Beer J., Solar variability and climate change. Mem. S.A.It., V.76, pp. 751−754 (2005).
- Beer J., Mende W., Stellmacher R., The role of the Sun in climate forcing. Quaternary Science Reviews, V.19, pp. 403−415 (2000).
- Beer J., Vonmoos M., and Muscheler R., Solar variability over the past several millennia. Space Science Reviews, V.125, pp. 67−79 (2006).
- Benestad R. E., Solar Activity and Earth’s Climate. Second Edition, Springer-Praxis Publ. (2006).
- Bertrand C., van Ypersele J.-P., and Berger A., Volcanic and solar impacts on climate since 1700. Climate Dynamics, Vol.15, pp. 355−367 (1999).
- Bhattacharya S. and Narasimha R., Possible association between Indian monsoon rainfall and solar activity. Geophysical Research Letters, V.32, L05813 (2005).
- Bochnfcek J. and Hejda P., The winter NAO pattern changes in association with solar and geomagnetic activity. Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, V.67, pp.17−32 (2005).
- Bojariu R. and Giorgi F., The North Atlantic Oscillation signal in a regional climate simulation for the European region. Tellus, Vol. 57A, pp. 1−13 (2005).
- Bond G., Krorner В., Beer J., Muscheler R., Evans M.N., Showers W., Hoffmann Sh., Lotti-Bond R., Hajdas I., Bonani G., Persistent solar influence on North Atlantic climate during the Holocene. -Sciencexpress, 1 065 680, p.10.1126 (2001).
- Bradley R., Has solar forcing been an important influence on climate in the late Holocene? Presentation, 63p.
- Bradley R.S., Hughes M.K., and Diaz H.F., Climate in Medieval Time. Science, Vol. 32, pp. 404−405 (2003).
- Bucha V., Long-term trends in geomagnetic and climatic variability. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, Vol.27, pp.427−431 (2002).
- Burckle L. and Grissino-Maye H.D., Stradivari, violins, tree rings and the Maunder minumum: a hypothesis. Dendrochronologia (Short article), Vol.21/1, pp.41−45 (2003).
- Cadavid А.С., Lawrence J.К., and Ruzmaikin A., Principal Components and Independent Component Analysis of Solar and Space Data. Solar Physics, doi 10.1007/sll207−007−9026−2 (2007).
- Camp Ch.D. and Tung K.K., Surface warming by the solar cycle as revealed by the composite mean difference projection. -Geophysical Research Letters, V.34, L14703 (2007).
- Casty C., Climate variability over the North Atlantic/European and Alpine regions since 1500. PhD Thesis, Bern University, 2005.
- Casty C., Raible Ch.C., Stocker Th. F., Wanner H., and Luterbacher J., A European pattern climatology 1766−2000. -Climate Dynamics, V.29, pp. 729−805 (2007).
- Charbonneau P., Dynamo models of the solar cycle. Living Rev. Solar Phys., 2, (2005), 2.
- Cliver E.W., Boriakoff V., and Feynman J., Solar variability and climate change: Geomagnetic aa index and global surface temperature. Geophysical Research Letters, V.25, No.7, pp. 1035−1038 (1998).
- Connolley W. and Steig E., Moberg et al: Highly variable Northern Hemisphere temperatures? RealClimate (http://www.realclimate.org) 15 February 2005.
- Cook E.R., Esper J., D’Arrigo R.D., Extra-tropical Northern Hemisphere land temperature variability over the past 1000 years. Quaternary Science Reviews, V.23, pp. 2063−2074 (2004).
- Coughlin K. and Tung K.K., Eleven-year solar cycle signal throughout the lower atmosphere. Journal of Geophysical Research, V.109, D21105 (2004).
- Coughlin K. and Tung K.K., 11- Year solar cycle in the stratosphere extracted by the empirical mode decomposition method. -Advances in Space Research, V.34, pp. 323−329 (2004).
- Coughlin K. and Tung K.K., Empirical Mode Decomposition of climate variability. Chapter 7, pp. 173−193 (2005).
- Coughlin К. and Tung К.К., Misleading patterns in correlation maps. Journal of Geophysical Research, V. lll, D24102 (2006).
- Courtillot V., Gallet Y., Le Mouel J.-L., Fluteau F., and Genevey A., Are there connections between the Earth’s magnetic field and climate? Earth and Planetary Science Letters, Vol. 253, pp. 328−339 (2007).
- Crowley Th., Causes of Climate Change Over the Past 1000 Years.- Science, V.289, pp. 270−277 (2000).
- Cubasch U., Burger G., Fast I., Spangehl Th., and Wagner S., The direct solar influence on climate: modeling the lower atmosphere.- Mem. S.A.It., Vol. 76, pp. 810−818 (2005).
- Damon P.E. and Laut P., Pattern of Strange Errors Plagues Solar Activity and Terrestrial Climate Data. Eos, Vol. 85, No. 39, 2004, pp.370,374.
- Dawson Ch.W., See L.M., Abrahart R.J., Heppenstall A.J., Symbiotic adaptive neuro-evolution applied to rainfall-runoff modelling in northern England. Neural Networks, Vol.19, pp.236−247 (2006).
- Delmas R.J., Kirchner S., Palais J.M., and J.-R. Petit, 1000 years of explosive volcanism recorded at the South Pole. Tellus, Vol.44B, No.4, pp.335−350 (1992).
- Dibike Y.B., Coulibaly P., Temporal neural networks for downscaling climate variability and extremes. Neural Networks, Vol.19, pp. 135−144 (2006).
- Dima M. and Lohmann M., A hemispheric mechanism for the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation. Journal of Climate, V.20, pp. 2706−2719 (2007).
- Donaruinmo Jr. J., Ram M., Stolz M.R., Sun/dust correlations and volcanic interference. Geophysical Research Letters, V.29, No.9, pp. 10.1029−10.1032 (2002).
- Eisner J.В., Granger causality and Atlantic hurricanes. -Tellus, Vol.59A, No.4, pp.476−485 (2007).
- Eisner J.B. and Kavlakov S.P., Hurricane intensity changes associated with geomagnetic variation. Atmospheric Science Letters, doi:10.1006/asle.2001.0040 (2001).
- Ermakov V., Okhlopkov V., and Stozhkov Yu., Influence of Zodiac Dust on the Earth’s Climate.
- El-Askary H., Sarkar S., Chiu L., Kafatos M., El-Ghazawi Т., Rain gauge derived precipitation variability over Virginia and its relation with the El Nino southern oscillation. Advances in Space Research, V.33, 338−342 (2004).
- Evan A.T., Heidinger A.K., and Vimont D.J., Arguments against a physical long-term trend in global ISCCP cloud amounts. -Geophysical Research Letters, V.34, L04701 (2007).
- Feliks Y. and Ghil M., Long-term forecasting and the scientific background to Joseph’s interpretation of pharaoh’s dreams. -Abstract.
- Fischer E. M., Luterbacher J., Zorita E., Tett S. F. В., Casty C., and Wanner H., European climate response to tropical volcanic eruptions over the last half millennium. Geophysical Research Letters, V.34, L05707 (2007).
- Flandrin P., Empirical Mode Decompositions as data-driven wavelet-like expansions for stochastic processes.
- Flandrin P., Gongalves P. and Rilling G., Detrending and denoising with Empirical Mode Decompositions. 4 p. (2004).
- Fleer H.E., Rainfall fluctuations and sunspot variability. -Archives for Metheorology, Geophysics, and Bioclimatology, Ser. B, Vol. 30, pp. 73−85 (1982).
- Fodor I.К. and Kamath Ch., Using independent component analysis to separate signals in climate data.
- Foukal P., Fronlich, Spruit H., and Wigley T.M.L., Variations in solar luminosity and their effect on the Earth’s climate. Nature, V.443, pp.161−166 (2006).
- Friis-Christensen E, Do solar variations affect our climate? -Presentation (2001).
- Friis-Christensen, E. and Lassen K., Length of the solar cycle: An indicator of solar activity closely associated with climate. -Science, V.254, pp.698−700 (1991).
- Frick P., Galyagin D., Hoyt D.V., Nesme-Ribes E., Schatten K.H., Sokoloff D., and Zakharov V., Wavelet analysis of solar activity recorded by sunspot groups. Astronomy and Astrophysics, V.328, pp. 670−681 (1997).
- Ghil M., The Nile River Records Revisited: How good were Joseph’s predictions? -Presentation.
- Giorgi F., Climate change hot-spots. Geophysical Research Letters, V.33, L08707 (2006).
- Granitto P.M., Verdes P.F., and Ceccatto H. A., Large-Scale Investigation of Weed Seed Identification by Machine Vision. -Preprint submitted to Elsevier Preprint 25 June 2004.
- Granitto P.M., Verdes P.F., Navone H.D., and Ceccatto H.A., Artificial neural network learning on nonstationary behavior in time series. International Journal of Neural Systems, Vol. 11, No. 2, pp. 305−310 (2001).
- Grinsted A., Moore J.C., and Jevrejeva S., Application of the cross wavelet transform and wavelet coherence to geophysical time series. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, Vol. 11, pp. 561−566 (2004).
- Haigh J.D., The Sun and the Earth’s climate. Living Rev. Solar Phys., 4, (2007), 2.
- Hansen J., Johnson D., Lacis A., Lebedeff S., Lee P., Rind D., Russel G., Climate Impact Of Increasing Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide. Science, V.213, No.4511, pp. 957−966 (1981).
- Hansen J., Lebedeff S., Global Trends Of Measured Surface Air Temperature. Journal of Geophysical Research, V.92, No. Dll, pp. 13,345−13,372 (1987).
- Hansen J., Ruedy R., Lo K., Glascoe J., & Sato M., GISS analysis of surf ace temperature change. (1999).
- Hansen J., Sato M., Ruedy R., Lo K., Lea D.W., and Medina-Elizade M., Global temperature change. PNAS, V.103, No.39, pp. 14 288−14 293 (2006).
- Hegerl G.C., Crowley T.J., Baum S.K., Kim K.-Y., Hyde W.T., Detection of volcanic, solar and greenhouse gas signals in paleo-reconstructions of Northern Hemisphere temperature. -Geophysical Research Letters, V.30, No.5, pp. 1242−1245 (2003).
- Hoyt, D.V. and Schatten, K.H., The role of the Sun in climate change. Oxford Univ. Press, New-York, (1997).
- Hoyt D.V. and Schatten K.H., Group sunspot numbers: a new solar activity reconstruction. Solar Physics, V.179, pp.189−219 (1998).
- Hsieh W.W., Wu A., and Schabbar A., Nonlinear atmospheric teleconnections. Submitted to Geophysical Research Letters.
- Ilin A., Valpola H., Oja E., Exploratory analysis of climate data using source separation methods. Neural Networks, Vol.19, pp.155−167 (2006).
- Javaraiah J., North-south asymmetry in solar activity: predicting the amplitude of the next solar cycle. Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 377, L34-L38 (2007).
- Jevrejeva S., Grinsted A., and Moore J.C., Nonlinear trends and multiyear cycles in sea level records. Geophysical Research Letters, V. lll, C09012 (2006).
- Jevrejeva S., Moore J.C., and Grinsted A., Oceanic and atmospheric transport of multiyear El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) signatures to the polar regions. Geophysical Research Letters, V.31, L24210 (2004).
- Jones P.D., Land Surface Temperatures — Is The Network Good Enough? Climatic Change, V.31, pp.545−558 (1995).
- Jones P.D., Mann M.E., Climate over past millennia. Rev. Geophys, V.42, pp. 1−42 (2004).
- Jones P.D., Wigley T.M.L., Kelly P.M., Variations in Surface Air Temperatures: Part 1. Northern Hemisphere, 1881—1980. — Monthly Weather Review, V.59, No.2, pp. 59−70 (1982).
- Kondrashov D., Feliks Y., and Ghil M., Oscillatory modes of extended Nile River records (A.D. 622−1922). Geophysical Research Letters, V.32, L10702 (2005).
- Kopeck у M. and Kuklin G.V., One possible explanation of Maunder’s minimum of sunspots. Bull. Astron. Inst. Czechosl., V.38, No.4, pp. 193−200 (1987).
- Kovaltsov G.A., Usoskin I.G., and Mursula K., An upper limit on sunspot activity during the Maunder minimum. Solar Physics, V.224, pp.95−101 (2004).
- Kravtsov S., Dewar W.K., Ghil M., McWilliams J.C., Berloff P., A mechanistic model of mid-latitude decadal climate variability. -Accepted to Physica D (2007).
- Krivova N.A., Solanki S.K., and Beer J., Was one sunspot cycle in the 18th century really lost? Astronomy & Astrophysics (Letter to the Editor), V.396, pp.235−242 (2002).
- Kull D., Connections Between Recent Water Level Drops in Lake Victoria, Dam Operations and Drought. (2006).
- Labonte В., Sky brightness measurements at Haleakala, 1955−2002. Solar Physics V.217, pp.367−381 (2003).
- Lamb, H.H., Volcanic dust in the atmosphere- with a chronology and assessment of its meteorological significance Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London, Series A, Vol. 266, pp. 425−533 (1970).
- Lassen K. and Friis-Christensen E., Variability of the solar cycle length during the past five centuries and the apparent association with terrestrial climate. J. Atmos. Terr. Phys., V.57, pp. 835−845 (1995).
- Lassen K. and Friis-Christensen E., Reply to «Solar cycle lengths and climate: A reference revisited» by P. Laut and J. Gundermann, Journal of Geophysycal Research, V.105, pp. 27,493−27,495 (2000).
- Laut P., Solar activity and terrestrial climate: an analysis of some purported correlations. Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, V.65, pp.801−812 (2003).
- Lee H. and Smith A.K., Simulation of the combined effects of solar cycle, quasi-biennial oscillation, and volcanic forcing on stratospheric ozone changes in recent decades. Journal of Geophysical Research, V.108, No. D2, 4049 (2003).
- Leloup J.A., Lachkar Z. Boulanger J.-Ph., and Thiria S., Detecting decadal changes in ENSO using neural networks. Climate Dynamics, pp.147−162, doi 10.1007/s00382−006−0173-l (2007).
- Mangini A., Spootl C., and Verdes P., Reconstruction of temperature in the Central Alps during the past 2000 yr from 5180 stalagmite record. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, V.34, pp. 741−751 (2005).
- Mangini A., Verdes P., Spootl C., Scholz D., Vollweiler N-, and B. Kromer, Persistent influence of the North Atlantic hydrography on central European winter temperature during the last 9000 years. r- Geophysical Research Letters, V.34, L02704 (2007).
- Mann M.E., Climate over the past two millennia. ~~ Annu.Rev.Earth Planet. Sci. 2007.35:111−136 (2007).
- Mann M.E., Gille E., Bradley R.S., Hughes M.K., Overpeck J., Keimig F.T., and Gross W., Global Temperature Patterns in Past Centuries: An Interactive Presentation. Earth Interactions (http://EarthInteractions.org), Vol. 4, Paper No. 4, 29 p. (2000).
- Mao J. and Robock A., Surface Air Temperature Simulations by AMIP General Circulation Models: Volcanic and ENSO Signals and Systematic Errors. Journal of Climate, V. ll, pp. 15 381 552 (1998).
- Maraun D., What Can We Learn from Climate Data? Methods for Fluctuation, Time/Scale and Phase Analysis. PhD Thesis, Potsdam University, 2006.
- Maraun D. and Kurths J., Cross wavelet analysis: significance testing and pitfalls. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, Vol. 11: pp.505−514 (2004).
- Maraun D. and Kurths J., Epochs of Phase Coherence between ENSO and Indian Monsoon. (2005).
- Maraun D., Kurthz J., and Holschneider M., Nonstationary Gaussian processes in wavelet domain: Synthesis, estimation, and significance test. Physical Review E, Vol.75, 16 707−01−1 670 714 (2007).
- Marsh N., Bondo Т., Sensitivity of tropospheric ionization to Forbush decreases, solar cycle modulation, and long-term trends. (2006).
- Marsh N. and Svensmark H., Cosmic rays, clouds and climate. -Space Science Reviews, V.94, pp. 215−230 (2000).
- Marsh N. D. and Svensmark H., Low cloud properties influenced by cosmic rays. Physical Review Letters, V.85, No.23, pp. 50 045 007 (2000).
- Mason B. G., Pyle D. M., Oppenheimer C., The size and frequency of the largest explosive eruptions on Earth Bulletin of Volcanology, Vol. 66, No. 8, pp. 735−748 (2004).
- Mass C. and Robock A., The short-term influence of Mount St. Helens volcanic eruption on surface temperature in the Northwest United States. Monthly Weather Review, V.110, pp. 614−622 (1982).
- P. N. Mayaud, J. Geophys. Res. 77, 6870 (1972).
- Miksovsky J. and Raidl A., Testing the performance of three nonlinear methods of time series analysis for prediction and downscaling of European daily temperatures. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, Vol.12, pp.979−991 (2005).
- Miletsky E.V., Ivanov V.G., Nagovitsyn YU.A., and Jungner H., Solar activity in the past: from different to combined reconstruction. Solar Physics, Vol. 224, pp.77−84 (2004).
- Moberg A., Sonechkin D.M., Holmgren K., Datsenko N.M., & Karlen W., Highly variable Northern Hemisphere temperatures reconstructed from low- and high-resolution proxy data. Letters to Nature, V.433 (2005).
- Mokhov I.I. and Smirnov D.A., El Nino-Southern Oscillation drives Norih Atlantic Oscillation as revealed with nonlinear techniques from climatic indices Geophysical Research Letters, V.33, L03708 (2006).
- Moore J.C., Grinsted A., and Jevrejeva S., Is there evidence for sunspot forcing of climate at multi-year and decadal periods? -Geophysical Research Letters, V.33, L17705 (2006).
- Mordvinov A.V. and Kuklin G.V., Hierarchy of cyclic solar activity changes. Solar Physics, V.187, pp.223−226 (1999).
- Morgan F., Colloquium: Soap bubble clusters. Reviews of Modern Physics, V.79, No.3, pp. 821−827, July-September 2007.
- Mosedale T.J., Stephenson D.B., Collins M., and Mills T.C., Granger Causality of Coupled Climate Processes: Ocean Feedback on the North Atlantic Oscillation. Journal of Climate — Special Section, V.19, pp. 1182−1194 (2005).
- Mouradian Z., Gleissberg cycle of solar activity. Proc. «SOLSPA: The Second Solar Cycle and Space Weather Euroconference», Vico Equense, Italy, 24−29 September 2001 (ESA SP-477, February 2002).
- Murphy J.O., Annual reconstruction of the Solar cycle from atmospheric 14C variations. Aust. J. Phys., V.43, pp. 357−372 (1990).
- Newhall, Ch.G. and Self, S., The volcanic explosivity index (VEI): An estimate of explosive magnitude for historical volcanism. -Journal of Geophysical Research Vol. 87, No. C2, pp. 1231−1238 (1982).
- Nordemann D.J.R., Rigozo N.R., and de Faria H.H., Solar activity and El-Nino signals observed in Brazil and Chile tree ring records. Advances in Space Research, Vol. 35, pp. 891−896 (2005).
- Ogurtsov M.G., New evidence for long-term persistence in the Sun’s activity. Solar Physics (2004).
- Oman L., Robock A., Stenchikov G.L., Schmidt G.A., and Ruedy R., Climatic response to high-latitude volcanic eruptions. ~ Journal of Geophysical Research, V.110, D13103 (2005).
- Oman L., Robock A., Stenchikov G.L., and Thordarson Th., High-latitude eruptions cast shadow over the African monsoon and the flow of the Nile. Geophysical Research Letters, V.33, L18711 (2006).
- Oman L., Robock A., Stenchikov G.L., and Thordarson Th., Koch D., Shindell D.T., and Gao Ch., Modelling the distribution of the volcanic aerosol cloud from the 1783−1784 Laki eruption. — Journal of Geophysical Research, V. lll, D12209 (2006).
- Ortiz-Tanchez L.E., Entropies and predictability of variability indices of the tropical Pacific. PhD Thesis, Humboldt University, Berlin, 2004.
- Ozgiic A., Atay Т., and Rybak J., Evaluation of the short-term periodicities in the flare index between the years 1966−2002. -Solar Physics, Vol.223, pp. 287−304 (2004).
- Palmer T.N., A Nonlinear Dynamical Perspective on Climate Prediction. Journal of Climate, pp. 575−591 (1999).
- Panchev S. and Tsekov M., Empirical evidences of persistence and dynamical chaos in solar-terrestrial phenomena. — Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, doi:10.1016/j.jastp.2007.07.011 (2007).
- Palus M. and Novotna D., Common oscillatory modes in geomagnetic activity, NAO index and surface air temperature records. Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, Vol.69, pp.2405−2415 (2007).
- Pasotti J., Daggers Are Drawn Over Revived Cosmic Ray-Climate Link. Science, Vol.319, p. 144 (2008).
- Patil D.J., Hunt B.R., Kalnay E., Yorke J.A., and Ott E., Local Low Dimensionality of Atmospheric Dynamics. Physical Review Letters, V.86, No.26, pp. 5878−5871 (2001).
- Pedro J., van Ommen Т., Curran M., Morgan V., Smith A., McMorrow A., Evidence for climate modulation of the 10Be solar activity proxy. Journal of Geophysical Research, V. lll, D21105 (2006).
- Peristykh A.N. and Damon P.E., Persistence of the Gleissberg 88-year solar cycle over the last 12,000 years: Evidence from cosmogenic isotopes. Journal of Geophysical Research, V.108, Al, 1003 (2003).
- Pitari G. and Mancini E., Short-term climatic impact of the 1991 volcanic eruption of Mt. Pinatubo and effects on atmospheric tracers. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, Vol. 2, pp. 91−108 (2002).
- Ponyavin D.I., Solar cycle signal in geomagnetic activity and climate. Solar Physics, Vol. 224, pp. 465−471 (2004).
- Ponyavin D.I., Barliaeva T.V., and Zolotova N.V., Hypersensitivity of climate response to solar activity output during the last 60 years, Mem. S.A.It. Vol. 76, 1026 (2005).
- Priest E.R., Solar Magnetohydrodynamics. Dordrecht: Reidel (1987).
- Eric R. Priest (Editor), Alan W. Hood (Editor), Advances in Solar System Magnetohydrodynamics.
- Pudovkin, M. I., Influence of solar activity on the lower atmosphere state International Journal of Geomagnetism and Aeronomy, Vol. 5, Issue 2, citepID GI2007, doi:10.1029/2003GI000060 (2004).
- Pustil’nik L.A. and Dim G.Y., Influence of Solar activity in the state of the wheat market in medieval England. Solar Physics, Vol. 223, pp. 335−356 (2004).
- Quayle R.G., Peterson Th.C., Basist A.N., Godfrey C.S., An operational near-real-time global temperature index. -Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 26, No.3, pp. 333−335 (1999).
- Radid V., Pasaric Z., and Sinik N., Analysis of Zagreb climatological data series using empirically decomposed intrinsic mode functions. Geofizika, V.21, pp. 15−36 (2004).
- Raisbeck G.M. and Yiou F., Comment on «Millenium scale sunspot number reconstruction: Evidence for an unusually active Sun since the 1940s?» Physical Review Letters, V.92, No.19, p.199 001−1 (2004).
- Ram M. and Stolz M.R., Possible Solar influences on the dust profile of the GISP2 ice core from Central Greenland. -Geophysical Research Letters, V.26, No.8, pp. 1043−1046 (1999).
- Ram M. and Stolz M.R., Correction to «Possible Solar influences on the dust profile of the GISP2 ice core from Central Greenland».- Geophysical Research Letters, V.26, No. 12, p. 1763 (1999).
- Raspopov O.M., Dergachev V.A., and Kolstrom Т., Hale cyclicity of Solar activity and its relation to climate variability. — Solar Physics, Vol. 224, pp. 455−463 (2004).
- Renssen H., van Geel В., van der Plicht J., Magny M., Reduced solar activity as a trigger for the start of the Younger Dry as? -Quaternary Science Reviews, V.68−71, pp. 373−383 (2000).
- Reusch D.B., Alley R.B., and Hewitson B.C., North Atlantic climate variability from a self-organizing map perspective. -Journal of Geophysical Research, V.112, D602104 (2007).
- Rigozo N.R., Nordemann D.J.R., Echer E., Zanandrea A., and Gonzalez W.D., Solar variability effects studied by tree-ring data wavelet analysis. Advances in Space Research, Vol. 29, No. 12, pp. 1985−1988 (2002).
- Rigozo N.R., Nordemann D.J.R., Pereira de Souza Echer M., Echer E., and Prestes A., A studying of solar-ENSO correlation with southern Brazil tree-ring index (1955—1994). Climate of the Past Discussions, V. l, pp. 215−230 (2005).
- Rigozo N.R., Nordemann D.J.R., da Silva H.E., Pereira de Souza Echer M., Echer E., Solar and climate signal records in tree ring width from Chile (AD 1587−1994). Planetary and Space Sciences, V.55, pp. 158−164 (2007).
- Robock A., Internally and externally caused climate change. -Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, Vol. 35, pp. 1111−1122 (1978).
- Robock A., Volcanic eruptions and climate. Reviews of Geophysics, V.38, No.2, pp. 191−219 (2000).
- Robock A., Cooling following large volcanic eruptions corrected for the effect of diffuse radiation on tree rings. Geophysical Research Letters, V.32, L06702 (2005).
- Robock A. and Free M., Ice cores as an index of global volcanism from 1850 to the present. Journal of Geophysical Research, V.100, D6, pp.11,549−11,567 (1995).
- Robock A. and Mao J., The volcanic signal in surface temperature observations. Journal of Climate, V.8, pp. 1086−1103 (1995).
- Rusov V.D., Glushkov A.V., Vaschenko V.N., Pavlovich V.N., Zelentsova T.N., Mihalus O.T., Tarasov V.A., Saranuk D.N., Cosmic rays and solar insolation as the main control parameters of the catastrophe theory of climatic response to orbital variations.
- Rust B. W., Carbon Dioxide, Global Warming, and Michael Crichton’s «State of Fear». Computing Science and Statistics, Vol. 37 (2006).
- Ruzmaikin A., Feynman J., and Yung Y.L., Is solar variability reflected in the Nile river? Journal of Geophysical Research, V. lll, D21114 (2006).
- Sato, M., Hansen J.E., McCormick M.P., and Pollack J.B., Stratospheric aerosol optical depth, 1850−1990. Journal of Geophysical Research, V.98, pp.22 987−22 994 (1993).
- Scafetta N. and West B.J., Phenological solar signature in 400 years of reconstructed Northern Hemisphere temperature record. Geophysical Research Letters, V.33, L17718 (2006).
- Scafetta N. and West B.J., Phenomenological reconstructions of the solar signature in the Northern Hemisphere surface temperature records since 1600. Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 112, D24S03 (2007).218 219 220 221 222 [223 224 225
- Schatzmann J., Using Self-Organizing Maps to Visualize Clusters and Trends in Multidimensional Datasets. Final year individual project report, Imperial College, London, 132p. (2003).
- Schlesinger E. and Ramankutty N., An oscillation in the global climate system of period 65−70 years. Nature (Letters to Nature), Vol. 367, pp. 723−726 (1994).
- Schove D.J., Sunspot turning-points and aurorae since A.D.1510.- Solar Physics, V.63, pp.423−432 (1979).
- Self S. The effects and consequences of very large explosive volcanic eruptions. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, Vol. 364, pp. 2073−2097 (2006).
- Sello S. Wavelet entropy as a measure of solar cycle complexity.- Astronomy and Astrophysics, Vol. 363, pp. 311−315 (2000).
- Sello S. Wavelet entropy and the multi-peaked structure of solar cycle maximum. New Astronomy, Vol.8, pp.105−117 (2003).
- Shindell D.T., Schmidt G.A., Miller R.L., and Mann M.E. Volcanic and Solar Forcing of Climate Change during the Preindustrial Era.- Journal of Climate, V.16, pp. 4094−4107 (2003).
- Solanki S.K., Usoskin I.G., Kromer В., Schiissler M., and Beer J., Unusual activity of the Sun during recent decades compared to the previous 11,000 years. Nature (Letters to Nature), V.431, 1084−1087 (2004).
- Solanki et al. reply, Reply to R. Muscheler et al. doi:10.1038/nature04045(2005) Nature (Brief Communications Arising), V.436 (2005).
- Sole J., Turiel A., Llebot J.E., Classification of Dansgaard-Oeschger climatic cycles by the application of similitude signal processing. Physical Letters A, V.366, pp. 184−189 (2007).
- Sole J., Turiel A., Llebot J.E., Using empirical mode decomposition to correlate paleoclimatic time-series. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, V.7, pp. 299−307 (2007).
- Soon W., Baliunas S., Idso C., Idso Sh., and Legates D.R., Reconstructing climatic and environmental changes of the past 1000 years: a reappraisal. A preprint for Energy &. Environment, 79p. (2003).
- Spak, S., Holloway Т., Lynn В., and Goldberg R., A comparison of statistical and dynamical downscaling for surface temperature in North America Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol.112, D08101, doi:10.1029/2005JD006712 (2007).
- Stager J.C., Ryves D., Cumming B.F., David Meeker L., and Beer J., Solar variability and the levels of Lake Victoria, East Africa, during the last millenium. J. Paleolimnol, Vol. 33, pp. 243−251 (2005).
- Stager J.C., Ruzmaikin A., Conway D., Verburg P., and Mason P.J., Sunspots, El Nino, and the levels of Lake Victoria, East Africa. Journal of Geophysical Research, V.112, D15106 (2007).
- Svensmark H., Influence of cosmic rays on Earth’s climate. -Physical Review Letters, V.81, No.22, pp. 5027−5030 (1998).
- Svensmark H., Cosmoclimatology: a new theory emerges. A&G, Vol.48, pp. 1.18−1.24 (2007).
- Svensmark H. and Friis-Christensen E., Variation of cosmic ray flux and global cloud coverage a missing link in solar-climate relationships — J.Atmos. Solar-Terr.Phys., Vol.59, pp. 1225−1232 (1997).
- Terradas J, Oliver R., and Ballester J.L., Application of statistical techniques to the analysis of Solar coronal oscillations. The Astrophysical Journal, V.614, pp. 435−447 (2004).
- Tessonne C.J., Mirasso C.R., Toral R., and Gunton J.D., Diversity-Induced Resonance. Physical Review Letters, Vol.97, 194 101 (2006).
- Thejll P.A., Decadal power in land air temperatures: Is it statistically significant? Journal of Geophysical Research, V.106, No. D23, pp. 31,693−31,702 (2001).
- Tinsley, B. A., Influence of solar wind on the global electric circuit, and inferred effects on cloud microphysics, temperature, and dynamics in the troposphere Space Science Reviews, 94, No. 1−2, pp. 231−258 (2000).
- Torrence Ch. and Compo G.P., A Practical Guide to Wavelet Analysis. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, V.79, No. 1, pp. 61−78 (1998).
- Torrence Ch. and Webster P.J., Interdecadal Changes in the ENSO-Monsoon System. Journal of Climate, V.12, pp. 26 792 690 (1999).
- Tsonis A.A., Probing the linearity and nonlinearity in the transitions of the atmospheric circulation. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, Vol.8, pp.341−345 (2001).
- Tsonis A.A., Eisner J.B., Hunt A.G., and Jagger Т.Н., Global Temperature Tendency and El Nino Frequency. 14p. (2005).
- Tsonis A.A. and Georgakalos K.P., Observing extreme events in incomplete state spaces with application to rainfall estimation from satellite images. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, Vol.12, pp.195−200 (2005).
- Tsonis A.A., Swanson K., and Kravtsov S., A new dynamical mechanism for major climate shifts. Geophysical Research Letters, V.34, L13T05 (2007).
- Tung K.-K. and Camp Ch.D., Solar-Cycle Warming at the Earth’s Surface and an Observational Determination of Climate Sensibility. Journal of Geophysical Research, 32p.
- Turhan (Tury) Taner M., Kohonen’s self organizing networks with"conscience". Kohonen’s Self Organizing Maps and Their Use in Interpretation, 7p. (1997)
- Usoskin I.G. and Kromer В., Reconstruction of the UC production rate from measured relative abundance. Radiocarbon, Vol. 47, No. 1, pp.31−37 (2005).
- Usoskin I.G. and Mursula K., Long-term solar cycle evolution: review of recent developments. Solar Physics, V.218, pp.319 343 (2003).
- Usoskin I.G. and Mursula K., and Kovaltsov G.A., Reconstruction of monthly and yearly group sunspot numbers from sparse daily observations. Solar Physics, V.218, pp.295−305 (2003).
- Usoskin I.G., Solanki S.K., Kovaltsov G.A., Beer J., Kromer В., Solar proton events in cosmogenic isotope data. Geophysical Research Letters, V.33, L08107 (2006).
- Usoskin I.G., Solanki S.K., and Schiissler M., Mursula K. and Alanko K., Millennium-scale sunspot number reconstruction: evidence for an unusually active Sun since the 1940s. Physical Review Letters, V.91, No.21, 21 1101(4) (2003).
- Usoskin I.G., Solanki S.K., Taricco C., Bhandari N., and Kovaltsov G.A., Long-term solar activity reconstructions: direct test by cosmogenic uTi in meteorites. Astronomy & Astrophysics, V.457, L25-L28 (2006).
- Usoskin I.G., Voiculescu M., Kovaltsov G.A., and Mursula K., Correlation between clouds at different altitudes and solar activity: Fact or Artifact? Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, Vol.68, pp.2164−2172 (2006).
- Vatchev V., The analysis of the Empirical Mode Decomposition Method. 24 p. (2002).
- Verdes P.F., Global Warming is driven by anthropogenic emissions: a timeseries analysis approach. Physical Review Letters, PRL 99, 48 501 (2007).
- Verdes P.F., Granitto P.M., and Ceccatto H.A., Secular behaviour of Solar magnetic activity: nonstationary time-series analysis of the sunspot record. Kluwer Academic Publishers, lip. (2004).
- Veretenenko S.V., Dergachev V.A., and Dmitriyev P.B., Long-term variations of the surface pressure in the North Atlantic and possible association with solar activity and galactic cosmic rays. Advances in Space Research Vol. 35, pp. 484−490 (2005).
- Veretenenko S.V. and Thejll, Effects of energetic solar proton events on the cyclone development in the North Atlantic. -Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics Vol. 66, pp. 393−405 (2004).
- Veretenenko S.V. and Thejll, Cyclone regeneration in the North Atlantic intensified by energetic solar proton events. Advances in Space Research Vol. 35, pp. 470−475 (2005).
- Voiculescu M., Usoskin Ilya G., and Mursula K., Different response of clouds to solar input. Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 33, L21802, doi:10.1029/2006GL027820 (2006).
- Wagner S. and Zorita E., The influence of volcanic, solar and CO2 forcing on the temperatures in the Dalton Minimum (1790−1830): a model study. Climate Dynamics V.25, pp.205−218 (2005).
- Weber S.L., A timescale analysis of the Northern Hemisphere temperature response to volcanic and solar forcing. Climate of the Past, Vol. 1, pp. 9−17 (2005).
- Weng H., The influence of the 11 yr solar cycle on the inter annual-centennial climate variability. Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics, Vol. 67, pp. 793−805 (2005).
- Wittmann A.D. and Xu Z.T., A catalogue of sunspot observations from 165 ВС to AD 1684¦ ~ Astronomy & Astrophysics Supplement Series, Vol. 70, pp. 83−94 (1987).
- Wu A., Hsieh W.W., Tang В., Neural network forecasts of the tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures. Neural Networks, Vol.19, pp. 145−154 (2006).
- Yang Zh., Qi D. and Yang L., Signal Period Analysis Based on Hilbert-Huang Transform and Its Application to Texture Analysis.- 12 p. (2004).
- Yoshimori, M., Stocker T. F., Raible С. C., and Renold M., Externally-forced and internal variability in ensemble climate simulations of the Maunder Minimum. Journal of Climate, Vol. 18, pp. 4253−4270 (2005).
- Yousef Sh.M., Amer M., and Abdel Aty M., The sharp rise of lake Victoria, a positive indicator to Solar Wolf-Gleissberg cycles turning points. ICEHM2000, Cairo University, Egypt, September, 2000, pp. 222−234.
- Zielinski G.A., Stratospheric loading and optical depth estimates of explosive volcanism over the last 2100 years derived from the Greenland Ice Sheet Project 2 ice core. Journal of Geophysical Research, V.100, No. D10, pp. 20,937−20,955 (1995).
- Zolotova N.V. and Ponyavin D.I., Was the unusual solar cycle at the end of the XVIII century a result of phase asynchronization?- Astronomy & Astrophysics (Letter to the Editor), V.470, L17-L20 (2007).